Universitario 3-1 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.4
No
48%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
65%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
13%
Away Win
13%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
38%
+14.6pp
48%
BTTS No
62%
-14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.60/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.52
+5% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
22.2 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.60 xG 1.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
212 Passes 305
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.06.2025 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
21.07.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 1-1 Universitario Universitario PER
04.02.2024 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
27.08.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 2-2 HT 1-1 Universitario Universitario PER
10.04.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
18.09.2022 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
3-1
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.60 xG 1.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
202 Passes 329
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario beat Atletico Grau 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Universitario had 42% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 58%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.60 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Universitario and 0.67 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Atletico Grau?

Universitario 3-1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Universitario 61%, draw 26%, Atletico Grau 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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