Atletico Grau 1-1 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.33/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.00
+25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.0 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Universitario
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.84 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
282 Passes 248
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
27.08.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 2-2 HT 1-1 Universitario Universitario PER
10.04.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
18.09.2022 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
01.05.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
25.09.2020 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
1-1
AWAY Universitario
1.14 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
220 Passes 183
69% Pass Accuracy 60%
29 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau and Universitario couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Universitario at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 51% of the ball to Universitario's 49%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.14 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.67 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Universitario?

Atletico Grau 1-1 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 29%, draw 28%, Universitario 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitario), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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