Sporting Cristal 4-0 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.88/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.45
+9% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 71%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
23.4 Crosses 15.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sport Boys
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.78 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-3 HT 0-3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
10.09.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
15.04.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-1 HT 0-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
15.10.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 3-5 HT 2-2 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
05.06.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
30.10.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
4-0
AWAY Sport Boys
1.47 xG 0.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
294 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal ran out comfortable winners over Sport Boys 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 48% of the ball to Sport Boys's 52%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.47 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.17 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Sport Boys?

Sporting Cristal 4-0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 56%, draw 24%, Sport Boys 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
21 Jul 2024
03:00 Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico Analysis →
21:00 Atletico Grau vs Universitario Analysis →
23:00 Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Union Comercio Analysis →