Alianza Lima 2-0 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
76%
-9.4pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.96/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.90
+13% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
395 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
21.3 Crosses 9.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Lima
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
298 Passes 214
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
27.08.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
09.04.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
27.07.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
27.02.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4-2 HT 2-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
25.09.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
2-0
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.42 xG 0.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
339 Passes 207
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima saw off Alianza Atletico 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Lima had 59% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 41%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.42 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.83 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?

Alianza Lima 2-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 66%, draw 20%, Alianza Atletico 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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