Juan Pablo II College 1-2 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juan Pablo II College EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 69%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
0.96/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.65
+24% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
21.0 Crosses 21.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juan Pablo II College
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
226 Passes 341
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.02.2025 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 1-0 Juan Pablo II College PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juan Pablo II College
1-2
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.90 xG 1.98
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
134 Passes 355
54% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima edged past Juan Pablo II College 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Juan Pablo II College had 35% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 65%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.90 to 1.98.

What was the final score of Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima?

Juan Pablo II College 1-2 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Juan Pablo II College 20%, draw 23%, Alianza Lima 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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