Sarasota Paradise 2-1 New York Cosmos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarasota Paradise EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Cosmos EU Bookmakers 25%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.73/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.06
-47% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
21.0 Crosses 14.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarasota Paradise
2-1
AWAY New York Cosmos
1.08 xG 1.11
9 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
389 Passes 313
19 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sarasota Paradise vs New York Cosmos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarasota Paradise edged past New York Cosmos 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sarasota Paradise as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.08 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Sarasota Paradise vs New York Cosmos?

Sarasota Paradise 2-1 New York Cosmos in the USA - USL League 1 on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarasota Paradise vs New York Cosmos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarasota Paradise win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sarasota Paradise 51%, draw 24%, New York Cosmos 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarasota Paradise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sarasota Paradise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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