Union Omaha 2-1 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.76/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.42
+16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
22.7 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Naples
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.86
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
406 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Naples 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
06.10.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 0-0 Naples USL1
26.05.2025 Naples 3-1 HT 2-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
2-1
AWAY Naples
0.86 xG 1.35
16 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
454 Passes 278
24 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha squeezed past Naples 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 0.86 to 1.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Naples.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Omaha and 1.33 for Naples.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Naples?

Union Omaha 2-1 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 55%, draw 24%, Naples 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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