Keflavik 3-2 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.86/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.99
+7% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
378 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
25.05.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
12.02.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 4-1 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
07.09.2020 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-3 HT 1-3 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
21.02.2015 Keflavik Keflavik 2-1 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
20.07.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
04.05.2014 Keflavik Keflavik 3-1 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik squeezed past Thor Akureyri 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Keflavik made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Keflavik and 1.33 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Keflavik 3-2 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 37%, draw 27%, Thor Akureyri 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ BTTS Yes
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