Thor Akureyri 1-1 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

Thor Akureyri
1-1 HT 0-1
Keflavik
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2024

Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.8pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thor Akureyri v Keflavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.55/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/2.07
-16% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Keflavik
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
The Meetings
12.02.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 4-1 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
07.09.2020 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-3 HT 1-3 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
21.02.2015 Keflavik Keflavik 2-1 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
20.07.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
04.05.2014 Keflavik Keflavik 3-1 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
30.06.2013 Keflavik Keflavik 1-3 HT 0-2 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri and Keflavik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thor Akureyri and 1.67 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?

Thor Akureyri 1-1 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 40%, draw 23%, Keflavik 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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