Grotta 4-3 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.8pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grotta EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 40%
+20% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.41/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.92
+47% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grotta
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
11.08.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
02.06.2023 Grotta Grotta 5-1 HT 3-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
22.02.2015 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 4-2 HT 2-1 Grotta Grotta İZLK
POST-MATCH Grotta vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grotta edged past Leiknir Reykjavik 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Grotta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Grotta and 2.33 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Grotta vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Grotta 4-3 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grotta vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grotta 34%, draw 26%, Leiknir Reykjavik 39%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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