Afturelding 1-1 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.1pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
2.56/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.62
+27% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Grindavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 1-2 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
01.06.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 0-3 HT 0-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
06.04.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 0-1 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZK
21.07.2022 Grindavik Grindavik 4-5 HT 2-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
06.05.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 1-1 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
11.09.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 1-3 HT 1-2 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
1-1
AWAY Grindavik
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding and Grindavik shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Afturelding at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Afturelding had 65% of the ball to Grindavik's 35%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grindavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Afturelding and 1.83 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Grindavik?

Afturelding 1-1 Grindavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 41%, draw 29%, Grindavik 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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