Real Tomayapo 2-1 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.19/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.72
-9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.1 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Tomayapo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Guabira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.33 xG 1.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
204 Passes 258
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.07.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
19.02.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
18.09.2021 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 1-1 HT 0-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Tomayapo
2-1
AWAY Guabira
1.03 xG 1.12
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
322 Passes 161
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Tomayapo vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Tomayapo nicked a narrow win over Guabira 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Tomayapo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Real Tomayapo had 62% of the ball to Guabira's 38%, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 1.03 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Tomayapo and 0.67 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Real Tomayapo vs Guabira?

Real Tomayapo 2-1 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Tomayapo vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Tomayapo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Tomayapo 52%, draw 24%, Guabira 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Tomayapo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Tomayapo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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