Oriente Petrolero 1-0 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.41/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.15
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 70%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
21.2 Crosses 10.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Wilstermann
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 0.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
227 Passes 253
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-1 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
19.02.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-0 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
06.12.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-0 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
26.06.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-2 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
22.10.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
13.09.2021 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-1 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
1-0
AWAY Wilstermann
1.81 xG 0.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
309 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero nicked a narrow win over Wilstermann 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oriente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 48% of the ball to Wilstermann's 52%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.81 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Oriente Petrolero's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.33 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Wilstermann?

Oriente Petrolero 1-0 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 44%, draw 26%, Wilstermann 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oriente Petrolero), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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