Sao Paulo 2-0 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.67
No
60%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
+7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
67%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.20/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.28
-24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
25.7 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Goias
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 0.53
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
500 Passes 220
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2023 Goias Goias 2-0 HT 2-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
28.05.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
13.11.2022 Goias Goias 0-4 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
24.07.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-3 HT 2-2 Goias Goias BR1
04.12.2020 Goias Goias 0-3 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
08.11.2020 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-1 HT 1-1 Goias Goias BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
2-0
AWAY Goias
2.48 xG 0.05
82% Ball Possession 18%
27 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
665 Passes 101
92% Pass Accuracy 64%
47 Box Touches 3
33 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo beat Goias 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 82% of the ball to Goias's 18%, shots finished 27-2, expected goals 2.48 to 0.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.17 for Goias.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Goias?

Sao Paulo 2-0 Goias in the Brazil - Cup on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 53%, draw 25%, Goias 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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