Aguilas Doradas 3-2 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 31 Jul 2024

Aguilas Doradas
3-2 HT 0-0
Patriotas Boyaca
📅31/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Aguilas Doradas vs Patriotas Boyaca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguilas Doradas v Patriotas Boyaca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.32/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.45
+11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
18.0 Crosses 13.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Aguilas Doradas vs Patriotas Boyaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.00 xG 0.53
52% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
339 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.01.2024 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
21.08.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
23.02.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
11.08.2021 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
29.03.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-1 HT 2-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
08.10.2020 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-0 HT 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL

Aguilas Doradas 3-2 Patriotas Boyaca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3-2
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.57 xG 1.98
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
260 Passes 156
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas nicked a narrow win over Patriotas Boyaca 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 61% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 39%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.57 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Patriotas Boyaca.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 0.33 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Aguilas Doradas 3-2 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 53%, draw 27%, Patriotas Boyaca 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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