Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v La Equidad — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 2-0
La Equidad
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
La Equidad
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
La Equidad
KOL
Atletico Nacional 0-1 La Equidad — Actual Match Statistics
La Equidad edged past Atletico Nacional 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 71% of the ball to La Equidad's 29%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.02 to 0.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atletico Nacional.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.67 for La Equidad.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad?
Atletico Nacional 0-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 52%, draw 26%, La Equidad 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.