31/07/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Liesti vs Unirea Brăila Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
24%
Draw
25%
33%
Away Win
33%
52%
Under 2.5
30%
48%
Over 2.5
70%
47%
BTTS Yes
72%
53%
BTTS No
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liesti v Unirea Brăila — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Liesti
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Unirea Brăila
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
324 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
348 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Liesti vs Unirea Brăila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Liesti squeezed past Unirea Brăila 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Liesti as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Liesti vs Unirea Brăila?
Liesti 2-1 Unirea Brăila in the Romania - Cup on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liesti vs Unirea Brăila?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liesti win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Liesti 43%, draw 24%, Unirea Brăila 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liesti) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Liesti)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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31 Jul 2024