ADT 0-3 Alianza Universidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.70/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.54
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.8 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alianza Universidad
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.32 xG 2.63
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
154 Passes 273
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 2-3 HT 2-3 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
0-3
AWAY Alianza Universidad
1.51 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
305 Passes 244
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADT vs Alianza Universidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Universidad swept aside ADT 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was ADT at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, ADT had 56% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 44%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.51 to 0.81 — on chances, ADT could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of ADT vs Alianza Universidad?

ADT 0-3 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Alianza Universidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ADT 50%, draw 23%, Alianza Universidad 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (ADT) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Over 2.5
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