Sparta Prag 3-1 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.25
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
6.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
76%
+2.7pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.6pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
2.14/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.72
+9% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
22.2 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.86 xG 0.55
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
513 Passes 219
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2026 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 0-3 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
31.08.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
26.11.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
29.07.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
25.02.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
03.09.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
3-1
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
2.41 xG 1.01
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
439 Passes 190
21 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag beat FC Fastav Zlin 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.41 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.50 for FC Fastav Zlin.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Sparta Prag 3-1 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 78%, draw 13%, FC Fastav Zlin 8%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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