Sparta Prag 3-1 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
8.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
72%
-1.3pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.8pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
2.02/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.76
+2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.0 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.13 xG 0.56
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
526 Passes 275
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
41 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
29.07.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
25.02.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
03.09.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
27.02.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
25.09.2021 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-5 HT 1-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
3-1
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
1.28 xG 0.72
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
501 Passes 217
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag saw off FC Fastav Zlin 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 66% of the ball to FC Fastav Zlin's 34%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.28 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.67 for FC Fastav Zlin.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Sparta Prag 3-1 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 71%, draw 16%, FC Fastav Zlin 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
31 Aug 2025
16:00 Slovan Liberec vs Viktoria Plzen Analysis →
18:30 Sigma Olomouc vs Banik Ostrava Analysis →