Slovan Liberec 1-1 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 56%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
0.81/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.76
-39% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +33%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
212 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 78%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
16.2 Crosses 22.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 1.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
215 Passes 326
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2025 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-2 HT 2-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
01.09.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
30.03.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-3 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
21.10.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
25.02.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
03.09.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
1-1
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
2.15 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
223 Passes 159
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec and Viktoria Plzen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Plzen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 56% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 44%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.15 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.33 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Viktoria Plzen?

Slovan Liberec 1-1 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 24%, draw 25%, Viktoria Plzen 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
31 Aug 2025
18:30 Sigma Olomouc vs Banik Ostrava Analysis →
21:00 Sparta Prag vs FC Fastav Zlin Analysis →