Viktoria Plzen 3-2 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 25% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
2.06/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.73
+6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
24.6 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
332 Passes 222
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
30.03.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-3 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
21.10.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
25.02.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
03.09.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
11.12.2021 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 2-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
3-2
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.73 xG 0.88
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 Passes 202
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
31 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Slovan Liberec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen nicked a narrow win over Slovan Liberec 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 58% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 42%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.73 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 1.33 for Slovan Liberec.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Slovan Liberec?

Viktoria Plzen 3-2 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Slovan Liberec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 53%, draw 23%, Slovan Liberec 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ BTTS No
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