Slovan Liberec 1-1 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.76/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.92
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
224 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
28.0 Crosses 18.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.82 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
226 Passes 326
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-3 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
21.10.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
25.02.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
03.09.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
11.12.2021 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 2-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
15.08.2021 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
1-1
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.00 xG 1.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
217 Passes 339
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec and Viktoria Plzen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Plzen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 42% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 58%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.00 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.17 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Viktoria Plzen?

Slovan Liberec 1-1 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 30%, draw 28%, Viktoria Plzen 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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