Karvina 0-0 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.61
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 27% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.9pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.21/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.39
-24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dukla Prag
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2023 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-3 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK2
22.10.2022 Karvina Karvina 5-0 HT 3-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
14.05.2019 Karvina Karvina 3-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
15.03.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-1 HT 2-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
07.10.2018 Karvina Karvina 0-2 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
05.05.2018 Karvina Karvina 1-3 HT 0-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
0-0
AWAY Dukla Prag
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
428 Passes 144
82% Pass Accuracy 63%
27 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina and Dukla Prag played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Karvina at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Karvina had 69% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 31%, shots finished 21-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Karvina and 1.17 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Dukla Prag?

Karvina 0-0 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Karvina 52%, draw 25%, Dukla Prag 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Karvina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karvina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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