Teplice 1-2 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.36/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.46
-2% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
256 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 62%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.9 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 0.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
219 Passes 355
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-2 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
04.11.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
25.04.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
06.11.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
19.12.2021 Teplice Teplice 0-1 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
21.08.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
1-2
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
157 Passes 379
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Teplice vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav squeezed past Teplice 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Mlada Boleslav made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Teplice had 37% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 63%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Teplice and 1.50 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Teplice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Teplice 1-2 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Teplice 35%, draw 31%, Mlada Boleslav 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Teplice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Teplice) ✓ BTTS Yes
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