Mlada Boleslav 2-1 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.75/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.75
+26% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.1 Crosses 22.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Teplice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.60 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
367 Passes 188
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Teplice Teplice 1-2 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
13.04.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-2 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
04.11.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
25.04.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
06.11.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
19.12.2021 Teplice Teplice 0-1 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2-1
AWAY Teplice
0.78 xG 1.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 12
314 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav edged past Teplice 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mlada Boleslav as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 46% of the ball to Teplice's 54%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.78 to 1.85 — on chances, Teplice could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 0.83 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?

Mlada Boleslav 2-1 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 41%, draw 24%, Teplice 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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