Coritiba 0-1 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.37
6+ Goals
10%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.94
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
11%
6.4
X/2
20%
4.89
X/X
12%
3.92
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.26
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.12/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.18
-16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.3 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.31 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
300 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2026 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 1-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
11.11.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
16.07.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
09.10.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 0-3 HT 0-2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
07.07.2021 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
19.10.2017 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
0-1
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.25 xG 2.24
18 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
314 Passes 341
21 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Coritiba vs Cruzeiro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cruzeiro edged past Coritiba 1-0 away from home in the Brazil - Serie A on 31 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 18-20, expected goals 1.25 to 2.24.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Coritiba and 0.67 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Cruzeiro?

Coritiba 0-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 30%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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