Cruzeiro 1-2 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Feb 2026

Cruzeiro
1-2 HT 1-1
Coritiba
📅06/02/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Cruzeiro vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.4
No
49%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.74
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
20.2
X/1
21%
3.63
X/2
8%
15.5
X/X
8%
5.28
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
6%
15.05
2/X
8%
24.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
38%
+13.3pp
49%
BTTS No
62%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruzeiro v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.64/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.90
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.3 Crosses 14.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Cruzeiro vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Coritiba
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.66 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
354 Passes 305
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
16.07.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
09.10.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 0-3 HT 0-2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
07.07.2021 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
19.10.2017 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
25.06.2017 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1

Cruzeiro 1-2 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
1-2
AWAY Coritiba
0.90 xG 2.35
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
499 Passes 201
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 19
41 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba edged past Cruzeiro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Cruzeiro carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 68% of the ball to Coritiba's 32%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 0.90 to 2.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Coritiba's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.33 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Coritiba?

Cruzeiro 1-2 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 59%, draw 22%, Coritiba 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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