Vasco da Gama 1-1 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Feb 2026

Vasco da Gama
1-1 HT 0-0
Chapecoense
📅06/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 25% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.02
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
16%
4.11
X/2
5%
11.2
X/X
10%
5.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.0
2/2
11%
9.38
2/X
8%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.7pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vasco da Gama v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.94/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.93
-7% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
27.1 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.89 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 Passes 272
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.07.2022 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
23.04.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
08.12.2019 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
15.09.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-2 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
27.08.2018 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 3-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
22.04.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1

Vasco da Gama 1-1 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
1-1
AWAY Chapecoense
67% Ball Possession 33%
30 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 0
502 Passes 207
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama and Chapecoense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Vasco da Gama carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 67% of the ball to Chapecoense's 33%, shots finished 30-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vasco da Gama and 0.67 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense?

Vasco da Gama 1-1 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 55%, draw 23%, Chapecoense 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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