Bahia vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bahia 1-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia and Fluminense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Bahia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Bahia had 42% of the ball to Fluminense's 58%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.23 to 1.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bahia and 1.50 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Fluminense?
Bahia 1-1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bahia 49%, draw 23%, Fluminense 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bahia) went the other way.