Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
Fluminense 2-0 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense saw off Bahia 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Fluminense had 53% of the ball to Bahia's 47%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.86 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fluminense and 1.17 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Bahia?
Fluminense 2-0 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 55%, draw 26%, Bahia 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.