Santos 3-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Dec 2025

Santos
3-0 HT 2-0
Cruzeiro
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Santos vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 31% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.68
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
19.45
X/1
14%
3.74
X/2
10%
16.15
X/X
10%
5.89
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
4%
15.0
2/X
8%
23.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.80/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.34
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
25.6 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Santos vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.27 xG 1.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
322 Passes 355
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.08.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
15.09.2023 Santos Santos 0-3 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
06.05.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
24.11.2019 Santos Santos 4-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
18.08.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
24.09.2018 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1

Santos 3-0 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
3-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.92 xG 0.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
384 Passes 332
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
40 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos swept aside Cruzeiro 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Santos had 54% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 46%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.92 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santos and 1.83 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Santos vs Cruzeiro?

Santos 3-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Santos 59%, draw 22%, Cruzeiro 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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