Corinthians 1-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.36
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
21%
4.29
X/2
7%
9.25
X/X
15%
4.49
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
8%
7.71
2/X
8%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
1.61/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.45
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.5 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Juventude
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2025 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
12.09.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 3-1 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BRK
30.08.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
04.08.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
18.04.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.10.2022 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
1-1
AWAY Juventude
2.61 xG 1.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
423 Passes 307
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians and Juventude shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Corinthians had 57% of the ball to Juventude's 43%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.61 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Corinthians and 1.67 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Juventude?

Corinthians 1-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 52%, draw 28%, Juventude 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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