Juventude 2-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Aug 2025

📅12/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.22
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.67
1/2
11%
31.5
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
7%
7.57
X/2
18%
4.26
X/X
12%
3.76
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
16%
2.79
2/X
10%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
0.93/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.91
+3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.6 Crosses 18.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Corinthians
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 1.22
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
261 Passes 423
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 3-1 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BRK
30.08.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
04.08.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
18.04.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.10.2022 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
11.06.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
2-1
AWAY Corinthians
1.77 xG 0.66
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
256 Passes 489
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude squeezed past Corinthians 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 37% of the ball to Corinthians's 63%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.77 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventude and 1.50 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Corinthians?

Juventude 2-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Juventude 26%, draw 29%, Corinthians 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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