Juventude 2-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 30 Aug 2024

Juventude
2-1 HT 0-0
Corinthians
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Juventude vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
15%
7.19
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.41
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
15%
5.42
X/2
7%
5.36
X/X
18%
3.02
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
21%
4.35
2/X
3%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.3pp
30%
Draw
33%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventude v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 37%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.67/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.86
+108% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
29.0 Crosses 26.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Juventude vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Corinthians
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.02
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 470
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
18.04.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.10.2022 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
11.06.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
10.12.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
08.09.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR1

Juventude 2-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
2-1
AWAY Corinthians
1.61 xG 0.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude edged past Corinthians 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Juventude found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 54% of the ball to Corinthians's 46%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.61 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Juventude and 1.00 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Corinthians?

Juventude 2-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Cup on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventude win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Juventude 38%, draw 30%, Corinthians 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventude) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventude) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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