Mirassol FC 3-3 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Dec 2025

Mirassol FC
3-3 HT 2-2
Flamengo
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Mirassol FC vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
17%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 32% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.63
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
19.0
X/1
25%
3.87
X/2
6%
16.05
X/X
11%
6.93
2/1
10%
22.25
2/2
5%
13.8
2/X
4%
22.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-9.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mirassol FC v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.43/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.50
-21% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.0 Crosses 14.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Mirassol FC vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Flamengo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.15 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 11
351 Passes 336
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 47
29 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.08.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1

Mirassol FC 3-3 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
3-3
AWAY Flamengo
2.67 xG 2.39
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
437 Passes 245
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
44 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and Flamengo couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Mirassol FC carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 63% of the ball to Flamengo's 37%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.67 to 2.39.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Flamengo?

Mirassol FC 3-3 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 60%, draw 23%, Flamengo 17%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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