Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-1
HT 0-1
Bahia
BR1
Fluminense 2-0 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense beat Bahia 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Fluminense had 63% of the ball to Bahia's 37%, shots finished 10-2, expected goals 1.29 to 0.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fluminense and 1.33 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Bahia?
Fluminense 2-0 Bahia in the Brazil - Cup on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 49%, draw 28%, Bahia 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.