Super Nova II 0-3 Riga Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.4
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
16%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
20%
+11.3pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-10.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova II EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 69%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/1.20
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Riga Mariners
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.04.2026 Riga Mariners 1-1 HT 0-0 Super Nova II Super Nova II LET1
POST-MATCH Super Nova II vs Riga Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners ran out comfortable winners over Super Nova II 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga Mariners as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Super Nova II vs Riga Mariners?

Super Nova II 0-3 Riga Mariners in the Latvia - 1st Division on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova II vs Riga Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Super Nova II 15%, draw 31%, Riga Mariners 54%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga Mariners), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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