Riga Mariners 1-1 Super Nova II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

Riga Mariners
1-1 HT 0-0
Super Nova II
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2026

Riga Mariners vs Super Nova II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
60%
+3.6pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Riga Mariners v Super Nova II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova II EU Bookmakers 21%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+50% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Riga Mariners vs Super Nova II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners and Super Nova II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Riga Mariners at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Riga Mariners vs Super Nova II?

Riga Mariners 1-1 Super Nova II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga Mariners vs Super Nova II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 64%, draw 17%, Super Nova II 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Riga Mariners), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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