Marupe 4-0 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.3pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 30%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.05/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.17
-9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marupe
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Skanste
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
28.09.2025 Marupe Marupe 0-1 HT 0-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
17.05.2025 Skanste Skanste 1-0 HT 0-0 Marupe Marupe LET1
03.08.2024 Marupe Marupe 0-0 HT 0-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe cruised past Skanste 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marupe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Skanste led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Marupe and 0.67 for Skanste.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Skanste?

Marupe 4-0 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marupe 43%, draw 32%, Skanste 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marupe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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