Marupe 0-1 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
16%
3.35
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.8pp
16%
Draw
26%
-10.8pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 34%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.11
+8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marupe
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Skanste
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
17.05.2025 Skanste Skanste 1-0 HT 0-0 Marupe Marupe LET1
03.08.2024 Marupe Marupe 0-0 HT 0-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste edged past Marupe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Marupe at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Skanste led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Marupe and 0.50 for Skanste.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Skanste?

Marupe 0-1 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Marupe 45%, draw 16%, Skanste 39%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marupe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
28 Sep 2025
14:00 Progress / AFA Olaine vs JDFS Alberts Analysis →