Progress / AFA Olaine 1-6 JDFS Alberts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.95
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
65%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.85
No
42%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+9.0pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.3pp
65%
Away Win
76%
-11.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.1pp
42%
BTTS No
50%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 81%
+29% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.79/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/1.09
+77% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine
1W-0D-3L
AWAY JDFS Alberts
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
10.11.2024 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 3-2 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
28.07.2024 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 2-0 HT 1-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
12.11.2023 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 6-2 HT 4-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
30.07.2023 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-3 HT 0-2 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
POST-MATCH Progress / AFA Olaine vs JDFS Alberts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts swept aside Progress / AFA Olaine 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 3.25 for JDFS Alberts.

What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs JDFS Alberts?

Progress / AFA Olaine 1-6 JDFS Alberts in the Latvia - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs JDFS Alberts?

Before kick-off our model rated an JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 18%, draw 16%, JDFS Alberts 65%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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