Progress / AFA Olaine 3-2 JDFS Alberts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
5.09
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
37%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
17%
+13.6pp
33%
Draw
19%
+13.9pp
37%
Away Win
64%
-27.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 69%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.92/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.61
+89% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +109%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine
0W-0D-3L
AWAY JDFS Alberts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
28.07.2024 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 2-0 HT 1-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
12.11.2023 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 6-2 HT 4-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
30.07.2023 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-3 HT 0-2 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
POST-MATCH Progress / AFA Olaine vs JDFS Alberts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progress / AFA Olaine squeezed past JDFS Alberts 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; Progress / AFA Olaine found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 3.67 for JDFS Alberts.

What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs JDFS Alberts?

Progress / AFA Olaine 3-2 JDFS Alberts in the Latvia - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs JDFS Alberts?

Before kick-off our model rated an JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 30%, draw 33%, JDFS Alberts 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JDFS Alberts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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