10/11/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-0
Riga FC II vs Marupe Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
22%
Draw
18%
14%
Away Win
9%
44%
Under 2.5
39%
56%
Over 2.5
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Riga FC II v Marupe — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Riga FC II
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marupe
EU Bookmakers 11%
-12% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
3.35/0.78
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.72/3.02
+39%
/
+18%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-22%
/
-17%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
22
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
8
Corners
3
484 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
268 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Riga FC II vs Marupe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Riga FC II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Marupe
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Riga FC II vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Riga FC II nicked a narrow win over Marupe 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC II as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Riga FC II vs Marupe?
Riga FC II 2-1 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Riga FC II vs Marupe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Riga FC II 65%, draw 22%, Marupe 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Riga FC II)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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More Latvia - 1st Division
10 Nov 2024