Tukums II 1-1 Rezekne / BJSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
4.58
Over 2.5
66%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
18%
+15.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
82%
-15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 25%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.13/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/4.74
-51% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tukums II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
26.07.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 2-1 HT 1-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
08.07.2023 Tukums II Tukums II 2-1 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs Rezekne / BJSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tukums II and Rezekne / BJSS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tukums II at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tukums II and 1.50 for Rezekne / BJSS.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Tukums II 1-1 Rezekne / BJSS in the Latvia - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tukums II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 57%, draw 23%, Rezekne / BJSS 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tukums II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tukums II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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