10/11/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Super Nova vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
80%
21%
Draw
14%
9%
Away Win
6%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Super Nova v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Super Nova
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ogre United
EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+9% /
+9%
2.39/0.77
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.36/2.70
-13%
/
+18%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-61%
/
+0%
59%
Ball Possession
41%
20
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
402 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
248 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Super Nova vs Ogre United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Super Nova
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Ogre United
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
FAQ
Super Nova vs Ogre United
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Super Nova ran out comfortable winners over Ogre United 3-0 in the Latvia - 1st Division on 10 Nov 2024.
The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Super Nova 3-0 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 69%, draw 21%, Ogre United 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Super Nova)
✓ Over 2.5
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LET1
More Latvia - 1st Division
10 Nov 2024