Skanste 0-3 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
80%
-17.9pp
25%
Draw
14%
+10.4pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skanste EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 9%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.38/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/3.00
-13% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
434 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skanste
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Smiltene
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
28.07.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-3 HT 0-1 Skanste Skanste LET1
12.08.2023 Skanste Skanste 3-0 HT 2-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
14.04.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 1-2 HT 1-2 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Skanste vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smiltene cruised past Skanste 3-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Skanste carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Skanste had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Skanste and 0.33 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of Skanste vs Smiltene?

Skanste 0-3 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skanste vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Skanste 62%, draw 25%, Smiltene 14%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Skanste) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skanste) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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