JFK Ventspils 2-2 Tukums II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
15%
3.94
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.63
No
59%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+3.5pp
15%
Draw
22%
-7.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
57%
-16.5pp
59%
BTTS No
43%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tukums II EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.34/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.32
-47% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tukums II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
22.08.2025 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 4-1 HT 2-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
21.04.2025 Tukums II Tukums II 1-3 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
02.08.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 0-1 HT 0-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
06.04.2024 Tukums II Tukums II 1-1 HT 0-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
30.09.2023 Tukums II Tukums II 1-1 HT 1-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
28.05.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-0 HT 1-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils and Tukums II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. JFK Ventspils carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JFK Ventspils had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for JFK Ventspils and 0.83 for Tukums II.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II?

JFK Ventspils 2-2 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II?

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 60%, draw 15%, Tukums II 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (JFK Ventspils), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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