Tukums II 1-3 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
17%
3.45
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.07
Over 2.5
63%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
17%
Draw
26%
-8.8pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+7.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 45%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.96/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+36% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tukums II
1W-2D-1L
AWAY JFK Ventspils
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
02.08.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 0-1 HT 0-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
06.04.2024 Tukums II Tukums II 1-1 HT 0-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
30.09.2023 Tukums II Tukums II 1-1 HT 1-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
28.05.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-0 HT 1-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils got the better of Tukums II 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JFK Ventspils as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Tukums II and 0.75 for JFK Ventspils.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?

Tukums II 1-3 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated an JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 35%, draw 17%, JFK Ventspils 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JFK Ventspils), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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