JFK Ventspils 4-1 Tukums II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tukums II EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.52/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/2.09
-37% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Tukums II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
21.04.2025 Tukums II Tukums II 1-3 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
02.08.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 0-1 HT 0-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
06.04.2024 Tukums II Tukums II 1-1 HT 0-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
30.09.2023 Tukums II Tukums II 1-1 HT 1-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
28.05.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-0 HT 1-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils swept aside Tukums II 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JFK Ventspils as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, JFK Ventspils had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for JFK Ventspils and 0.80 for Tukums II.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II?

JFK Ventspils 4-1 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II?

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 57%, draw 22%, Tukums II 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JFK Ventspils), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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